2003 World Series of Poker, Main Event. Two players left, heads-up. You are Chris Moneymaker, an amateur who won his seat in an online satellite. Across from you is Sam Farha, a professional.
bet EV = fold% × pot − (1 − fold%) × bet
With no chance at showdown, a bluff profits when fold% is above bet ÷ (pot + bet).
Played heads-up at Binion’s Horseshoe, Las Vegas, and broadcast in ESPN’s coverage of the 2003 World Series of Poker.
Cards and action from published hand histories. Stacks before the hand as reported (4.62M and 3.77M, rounded to 10k); every later amount follows from the action.