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interactive version →

Bet sizing

Every bet sets two prices: how often they need to win to call, and how often your bluff must work.

8 steps, as text. step through the interactive version →

  1. 01, open this step in the interactive version

    The pot is $100. You can bet any amount you like. What actually changes as the bet gets bigger?

  2. 02, open this step in the interactive version

    A bet is a price you offer them. Bet $50 and they pay $50 to win $200. They need to win 25% of the time.

  3. 03, open this step in the interactive version

    Bet the full pot, $100, and they need 33%. Bigger bets ask more of the hands that call.

  4. 04, open this step in the interactive version

    If you’re bluffing, the bet is your price too. A $50 risks $50 to win $100. It must work one time in three.

  5. 05, open this step in the interactive version

    A $100 bluff risks $100 to win $100. Now it has to work half the time.

  6. 06, open this step in the interactive version

    Every size is a trade. Bigger bets make calling harder, and make bluffing more expensive.

  7. 07, open this step in the interactive version

    A third of the pot: they need 20%, your bluff needs 25%. Twice the pot: they need 40%, your bluff needs 67%.

  8. 08, open this step in the interactive version

    Try any size. Watch both prices move together.